New video explains a lot: Western Civilization is a FAILURE
https://brightvideos.com/play/vid-8705b47a-2dc9-40e0-930e-78440bb35b2f/index.html
Having problems with Claude Code and its lousy OAuth system that repeatedly fails authorization?
I am happy to report that "goose" (from Block) running with local Qwen3.5-27B is a local open source replacement for Claude Code, and it's quite good at system tasks and light coding (so far).
I'll be testing some other LLMs with it. You'll need to install some tools to let goose do things like fetch web pages and write files, but that's easy to do.
The lubricants industry will be facing a supply crisis soon, and this single fact reveals more about the fragility of our modern world than any headline about oil prices ever could. I am looking at reports that confirm the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February 2026 was triggered by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market. Approximately twenty million barrels of oil pass through this strait per day, which is roughly twenty percent of global seaborne oil trade. When you remove that much supply anywhere, prices rise everywhere, and Brent crude has already surpassed one hundred twenty-six dollars per barrel at its peak in March 2026. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas has modeled that removing close to twenty percent of global oil supply from the market is expected to reduce global real GDP growth by an annualized two point nine percentage points in the second quarter of 2026. This is not a scenario to model; it is the current operating environment for anyone who still believes centralized systems protect us.
What most people miss entirely is that this war is morphing into a shortage of nearly everything, not just fuel. The conflict has crimped oil and natural gas flows, reducing global supply by about one-fifth, but the strain is now spreading into every corner of the consumer market as prices rise for materials like plastic, rubber, and polyester. I see South Korea where people have been panic-buying trash bags while the government encourages event organizers to minimize use of disposable items. In Taiwan, rice farmers told local media they may hike prices because they cannot get vacuum-sealed bags. The situation in Japan has sparked fears that patients with chronic kidney failure will not be able to get treatment due to a lack of plastic medical tubes used in hemodialysis. Malaysian glove manufacturers say a dearth of a petroleum byproduct needed to make rubber latex is threatening global supplies of medical gloves. This spills into everything very quickly including beer, noodles, chips, toys, and cosmetics because plastic caps, crates, snack bags, and containers are becoming more difficult to procure.
The lubricant crisis I mentioned at the start stems from the loss of natural gas supplies and the loss of ability to manufacture synthetic oils used in lubricant blends. The supply chain is about to collapse with catastrophic repercussions for transportation, construction, manufacturing, and other industries. Petroleum derivatives are also needed to make adhesives for footwear and furniture, industrial lubricants for machinery, and solvents for paints and cleaning processes. One-third of global fertilizer shipments pass through this chokepoint, meaning nitrogen-based varieties dependent on natural gas face fragility that may influence worldwide agricultural yields. Goldman Sachs has revised U.S. inflation forecasts upward, and the broader consensus among forecasters points to a stagflationary drag on the U.S. economy characterized by higher prices and lower growth. If the Strait of Hormuz closure persists for even a few more months, it could become the single-largest and most consequential energy and supply chain disruption in modern history.
Preparedness is no longer optional when the systems you depend on are being severed at their source. The risk of escalation remains high, which would prolong the closure and cause further damage to energy and other infrastructure. Disruptions are becoming more apparent as the last maritime shipments from Gulf Cooperation Council countries have arrived and stocks are dwindling. Even if the conflict ends soon, supply chains could take months or even years to recover, particularly where infrastructure has been severely damaged. I am telling you this not to induce fear but to demand awareness, because relying on government promises when twenty percent of global energy trade is
