Two counties in particular, Dane and Winnebago, saw oddly improved Democratic vote counts at numerous points during the count. Every time the GOP started to pull ahead in the race, the Democrat vote spikes became observably more "extreme" to offset it.
Also, in Milwaukee at 3:31am, there was a single count update of 109,000 votes, 83 percent of which favored Democrats. That vote count dump ultimately flipped the outcome of the race from Hovde to Baldwin.
"This vote batch is improbable on several dimensions," Shylock Holmes tweeted.
"1. It is late at night
2. It differs from the 67% Dem vote share beforehand
3. It is 25% of all Senate votes cast in Milwaukee
4. It is a considerable fraction (3.2%) of votes in the overall race
5. The race was close beforehand (49.1% Dem vote share)
6. It flipped the outcome of the race"
Evidence Suggesting Voter Fraud in Wisconsin Senate Race
In Milwaukee, a huge and improbable Dem vote dump flipped the race
In Dane and Winnebago, updates implausibly all improved Dem vote share relative to prior votes. Updates got more extreme after GOP pulled ahead.
A ? pic.twitter.com/u7ykXxRzeO
— Shylock Holmes (@shylockh) November 11, 2024
(Related: Did you know that Claire Woodall-Vogg, the former election director of Milwaukee, was recently fired, but not arrested, for committing voter fraud in Wisconsin in 2020?)
Rigging the vote to "win"
As you can see from the above chart, the red and blue spikes from the 3:31am vote count dump looks oddly similar to the one that was widely published after the contentious 2020 election, which was similarly rigged to favor certain candidates.
There were no other areas in Wisconsin where any similar types of vote count dumps occurred that resulted in the race being flipped. Clearly something is amiss.
"While each property has innocent explanations, the combination is highly unlikely," Shylock Holmes says.
"Only 8 updates are as extreme on the first 5 traits (including the Milwaukee President race). The Milwaukee Senate is the only update out of 46,489 that also flipped the outcome of the race."
To clarify this point further, imagine flipping a coin 24 times and getting heads 22 of those 24 times. Also imagine along with that having the coin flip to heads 14 times in a row. This is how the vote count for the Wisconsin Senate race went in Milwaukee on Election Day.
Even with the vote count dump, the GOP ended up pulling ahead in the national race, at least, bringing a victory for Donald Trump in the traditionally "blue" state. For Hovde, though, his seat will now be held by Baldwin due to the fiasco.
The X / Twitter thread explains much more in-depth how all of the calculations were made to determine that things simply do not add up in Milwaukee. Take a look at it if heavy math interests you.
"I want to know what it will take for the Republican Party to purchase ballot images, cast vote records, absentee records, and voter registration lists in Wisconsin," wrote commenter "Dave" from Dave's Substack, suggesting an idea as to how this all might be remedied with proactive efforts such as these.
"There are ways to do a deeper investigation into an anomaly like this, but it requires resources. People like you and me don't have those resources, but the Republican Party does."
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