According to The Telegraph's election forecast, Trump is projected to surpass the 270-electoral vote threshold needed to win by securing 289 Electoral College votes. Meanwhile, Harris is only predicted to receive 249 votes. The model, which uses extensive historical election trends, demographic analysis and polling data, indicates the strong position of Trump especially in crucial battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
"The model suggests that the Republicans are the most likely to win tightly fought races in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin," The Telegraph reported. "As of October 30, Trump is also predicted to win Pennsylvania with its 19 Electoral College votes." The former president is also expected to win Florida and Ohio.
Harris, on the other hand, is forecasted to secure Michigan and Nevada among the battleground states, but these wins alone may not be enough to close the gap.
AtlasIntel, a forecasting model known for its accuracy in the 2020 election, has gone a step further. The forecasting model predicts that Trump will win in all seven key battleground states, a scenario that would yield him 312 electoral votes. Such a result would mark a significant Republican advantage – a major shift in voter sentiment since the previous election.
Forecasting models from the Economist, Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight and analyst Nate Silver have also adjusted their projections, now positioning Trump as the likely winner. (Related: Conventional polls show Trump and Harris locked in DEAD HEAT as Election Day nears… they are setting up a STEAL.)
Meanwhile, political commentator and Trending Politics co-owner Collin Rugg raised his concerns on X, formerly known as Twitter, about the alleged "coordinated left-wing operation" to promote a false narrative of growing momentum for Harris.
According to Rugg, this purported campaign is evident across various social media platforms, including X, TikTok and Instagram, as well as some mainstream media outlets. Rugg's claims suggest that the goal of this narrative is to convince voters that Harris is experiencing an unexpected surge in support – potentially to demotivate conservative voters.
Moreover, Rugg argued that this approach aligns with the recurring election tactic meant to discourage right-leaning voters from turning out by creating a perception of inevitable defeat although forecasting models are stating otherwise.
"I am seeing a coordinated left-wing operation claiming there is a "momentum shift" towards Harris," Rugg wrote on his official X account. "I've seen this on X, TT, IG and you are now seeing it in the media. It has ramped up in the past few days. They are creating a narrative that Kamala Harris is seeing a surprising surge in support. This is only to discourage right-wingers from voting. They do this every election and they are doing it now."
He urged conservative voters not to be swayed by these reports and show up on Election Day. "Don't fall for it," he added."Vote and bring at least one person with you."
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Watch Republican lobbyist Matt Schlapp denouncing Kamala Harris as a "radical extremist" and her policies as "unacceptable to middle America" below.
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