The latest reports indicate that Israel and Hezbollah have each drafted “battle plans” of their own and are currently trying to obtain more weapons in preparation for a significant battle. The news comes straight from two senior American officials who were briefed on intelligence about the moves, which contradict public statements by both sides that they are not interested in going to war. According to Politico, officials believe that the risk of a major escalation is higher than it has been in a long time.
Meanwhile, the way Israel handles its desire to pursue Hezbollah terrorists in Lebanon could throw even more fuel on the fire. Iran has been warning that should the IDF enter southern Lebanon, the Jewish state should expect an “obliterating war.”
In a post on X, Iran’s Permanent Mission to the UN cautioned: “Albeit Iran deems as psychological warfare the Zionist regime’s propaganda about intending to attack Lebanon, should it embark on full-scale military aggression, an obliterating war will ensue. All options, incl. the full involvement of all Resistance Fronts, are on the table.”
Unfortunately, this isn’t one-sided rhetoric; Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is convinced that “terror proxies” in Iran will conquer all of the Middle East if left unchecked. “We also have to deter the other elements of the Iran terror axis. But we have to deal with the axis. The axis doesn’t threaten only us. It threatens you. It’s on the march to conquer the Middle East. That means, actually, conquer. Conquer Saudi Arabia, conquer the Arabian Peninsula. It’s just a question of time,” he warned.
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Last week, Hezbollah sent dozens of rockets into northern Israel, while Israeli aircraft bombed a number of Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon. An Israeli airstrike killed a senior Hezbollah commander on Wednesday, and Hezbollah responded swiftly with a major rocket and drone attack. Tens of thousands of people have been fleeing northern Israel and southern Lebanon.
The U.S. apparently thinks the chances of something big happening are pretty high, moving military assets into place so they can evacuate Americans out of the region as the fighting ramps up. The Pentagon has already sent an amphibious assault ship and special operations Marines into the Mediterranean to join other ships and prepare for missions such as Military Assisted Departure, according to media reports.
Ukraine conflict and Russia-North Korea pact adding to global tensions
Let's not forget that tensions are also rising in Ukraine, to the point where the Biden administration is reportedly working on a plan that would allow some U.S. military contractors to deploy to Ukraine. This would almost certainly anger Russia and invoke some type of response.
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed a desire to create a coalition of nations that can “rival the West and NATO.” His recent trip to North Korea ended with Putin and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un announcing that the two countries would come to one another’s aid if attacked in a show of power to intimidate the U.S., South Korea, Japan and other allies.
Some experts warned that this formal security pact could accelerate a global war. After the mutual defense treaty was signed, policymakers in Seoul were reportedly starting to rethink their stance of limiting their support for Ukraine to nonlethal policies; a change to this would certainly be viewed by Putin as a provocation. It could also draw Russia into a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Former CIA Moscow station chief Daniel N. Hoffman warned: “All of that makes today arguably more dangerous, more risky for U.S. national security than ever before,” he noted, “not just in the Korean Peninsula but throughout the world. I think we face more wickedly complex threats to our national security right now, today, than ever before.”
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