The official story on Russia’s invasion is murky. Is Russia failing to achieve their goals in Ukraine, as the Western media insists? NATO officials estimate that Russia has lost between 7,000 and 15,000 soldiers in the first month of fighting. Some media outlets suggest Russia has lost upward of 17,000 soldiers. Russia’s Ministry of Defense estimates that Russia has lost closer to 1,351 soldiers, with 3,825 wounded. With over a hundred thousand new recruits coming into the ranks this year, Russia should be fully prepared for a second wave of fighting through the Spring and Summer months.
According to official reports, Russian forces are allegedly withdrawing from Ukraine’s capital city of Kiev. Russia has allegedly lost some of the territory and has had to protect troops by using longer range missiles. But the ceasefires in the region might be short-lived. As Russia prepares to draft tens of thousands of new soldiers in the coming months, they are more than ready to fight through a new wave of escalations in Eastern Ukraine. If Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy continues to arm the Neo-Nazi factions and drag NATO countries into the fray, they may bite off more than they can chew.
Will Russia reach their draft goals and be able to convince tens of thousands of new recruits to support an ongoing war in Ukraine? Putin recently remarked that new military conscripts are not “participating in hostilities” in Ukraine. Russia’ Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu assured the country that new recruits will not be sent to “hot spots” in Ukraine. It typically takes six months to a year to train new Russian soldiers. The influx of new recruits, could however, free up tens of thousands of well-trained soldiers so they can leave the mainland and join the fighting in Ukraine. The new recruits could be used to manage bases across Russia and fulfill logistical needs, allowing more troops to flow into Ukraine. As the escalations continue, more innocents will be caught in the crossfire.
According to Russia’s military command, Russia needs to use Kiev and Chernihiv to launch “redeployment's” into the Donbas region. Russia has been blamed for conducting an “unprovoked full-scale invasion” of Ukraine, but their military command has been clear on their strategy. They plan to fully liberate the Donbas region, protecting ethnic Russians from genocide.
The Western media claims that the 134,000 new Russian troops are being drafted to deal with serious losses in Ukraine – catastrophic losses that Russia did not expect. However, Russia typically conscripts over a hundred thousand new soldiers every year, and Putin is bound by law to make the draft goals known to the public. Regardless of casualties thus far, it seems the Russian military (backed by China) is prepared to carry out its missions in Ukraine, no matter who intervenes. Russia is preparing economically, too, and has already linked its ruble to gold to circumvent U.S.-led sanctions and upend the dollar as the global reserve currency. Ukraine and their allies may be taking back critical territory in Kiev for now, but Russia is a much larger presence and their military is more prepared for the long war, if need be.