Titled, "Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study," the study is authored by Professor Gabriel M. Leung, MD and Kathy Leung, PhD.
The study also warns that "preparedness plans" should be "readied for quick deployment globally."
Stated bluntly, this study published in The Lancet on Jan 31st sounds almost exactly like Natural News articles from a week earlier. Natural News has also covered the implications of symptomless coronavirus carriers and why such people can bypass all existing airport screening measures.
"[Coronavirus] cases have been exported to other Chinese cities, as well as internationally, threatening to trigger a global outbreak," the study further warns.
The study used flight data to estimate the spread of coronavirus to over 300 cities across mainland China. It used 2.68 as the reproductive rate for the virus, which means every one person infects 2.68 more people. Based on these numbers, the study warns that "epidemics are already growing exponentially in multiple major cities of China" with a lag time that runs about 1-2 weeks behind the Wuhan outbreak.
"Large cities with close transport links to China could also become outbreak epicenters"
The study also warns that cities which are receiving flights from China could become "outbreak epicenters." Direct air flights from China continue to deliver passengers to dozens of large cities around the world each day, including Los Angeles, Boston, New York, London, Tokyo, Moscow, Vancouver, Toronto and many more.
So far, the United States has not banned incoming air flights from China, even after the WHO has declared a global pandemic emergency.
The communist Chinese government made a decision on Jan. 25th to sacrifice millions of lives in order to save 11 key cities that represent China's military and industrial hubs. China's political leaders have already accepted the reality that the nation will experience millions of fatalities from coronavirus infections and secondary effects such as starvation, infections and disease, many stemming from draconian quarantine measures that have now imprisoned 56 million Chinese citizens.
If the virus begins to show an outbreak pattern in other countries with less military control over their populations -- such as Thailand, the Philippines or various African nations -- it is almost certain to break containment there and become a global pandemic.
The total number of confirmed coronavirus infections outside China now exceeds 100, and numbers are growing quickly in Thailand, Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and South Korea. See the current numbers below:
Listen to my recent podcast to fully understand the economic implications of what happens if this virus breaks containment in any country and becomes a global pandemic:
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Mike Adams (aka the "Health Ranger") is the founding editor of NaturalNews.com, a best selling author (#1 best selling science book on Amazon.com called "Food Forensics"), an environmental scientist, a patent holder for a cesium radioactive isotope elimination invention, a multiple award winner for outstanding journalism, a science news publisher and influential commentator on topics ranging from science and medicine to culture and politics.
Mike Adams also serves as the lab science director of an internationally accredited (ISO 17025) analytical laboratory known as CWC Labs. There, he was awarded a Certificate of Excellence for achieving extremely high accuracy in the analysis of toxic elements in unknown water samples using ICP-MS instrumentation.
In his laboratory research, Adams has made numerous food safety breakthroughs such as revealing rice protein products imported from Asia to be contaminated with toxic heavy metals like lead, cadmium and tungsten. Adams was the first food science researcher to document high levels of tungsten in superfoods. He also discovered over 11 ppm lead in imported mangosteen powder, and led an industry-wide voluntary agreement to limit heavy metals in rice protein products.
Adams has also helped defend the rights of home gardeners and protect the medical freedom rights of parents. Adams is widely recognized to have made a remarkable global impact on issues like GMOs, vaccines, nutrition therapies, human consciousness.
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