All posts tagged with Projections
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-(Natural News) Remember the original pandemic projection model we released on March 5th? That model, with details shown below, projected 2.1 million deaths in the United States by July 4th if aggressive steps weren’t taken to achieve strong social isolation (i.e. halting all domestic air travel, blocking public transport, etc.). Fortunately for us all, President […]
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-(Natural News) Last night, we published a new pandemic projection model with a downloadable spreadsheet so you can run your own scenarios and see all the math and methodology behind the projection. You can download that spreadsheet from this article on Natural News. That model introduced a new factor called the “social distancing suppression factor” […]
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-(Natural News) We finally have some good news to report. The number of Americans killed by the coronavirus by July4th can be reduced to only 1.1 million — or even just 1,300 with a far more aggressive approach — through the pursuit of “social distancing” measures, our new projection simulation shows (when using an R0 […]
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-(Natural News) A predictive model from The Australian National University (ANU) that looks at seven potential scenarios for how the Wuhan coronavirus (CoVid-19) will impact the world once all is said and done makes one unanimous determination: at best, 15 million people will end up dead when the dust finally settles, along with a corresponding […]
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-(Natural News) We are now releasing the downloadable Pandemic Projection Model (“Adams Model”) spreadsheet, Revision 2, with new features: You can alter the starting assumption values to test different scenarios of where the coronavirus pandemic goes in any given nation or population region. Fields that can be altered include R0 value, mortality rate, and # […]
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-(Natural News) Today I finished tweaking the first draft of a pandemic projection model that simulates the spread of the coronavirus in the United States. The assumptions of the model are explained here, and you will find they are extremely conservative (using R0 value of just 1.82, for example). The model’s predictions are nothing short […]
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-(Natural News) Out of the many futuristic inventions that have been showcased in various forms of science fiction over the past few decades, one of the most interesting as well as the most pervasive seems to be holographic imaging technology. After all, who wouldn’t want to experience the greatness of 3D images floating about in […]
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-(Natural News) As monthly health care premiums and patient deductibles continue to spiral upward, leaving tens of millions of Americans without any practical health coverage to speak of, congressional cowards are using every excuse in the book to not repeal the law responsible for economically savaging scores of families and businesses. One of the most […]
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